Hanne Vandewinkel vs Weronika FalkowskaIstanbul 2 Round of 16

Istanbul 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#98WTA
1690ELO
1730Hard ELO
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLLLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 15 July 2026 ·
hard
#353WTA
1253ELO
1259Hard ELO
26 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWWWW
Vandewinkel H.
6-4 3-6 6-4
Falkowska W.
Vandewinkel H.
6362
Falkowska W.
4641

Hanne Vandewinkel defeated Weronika Falkowska 6-4, 3-6, 6-4 in the Round of 16 at the Istanbul 2 hard-court tournament. The match saw both players converting 5 service breaks, with Vandewinkel winning 68% of her first-serve points and Falkowska converting 62% of her break points. Vandewinkel hit 2 aces and 6 double faults, while Falkowska had 9 aces and 6 double faults.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
47%
Service points won·Even
60%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
46%
51%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
50%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.8
2.2
Double faults / match·Even
2.9
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Vandewinkel H.82%
Falkowska W.18%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Vandewinkel H. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.1
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
10.0+471 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1259
10.0Overall Elo 1690
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1253
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
9.09 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.07 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
5.0Opponent hot: 8 of last 10
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
75
57

Vandewinkel H.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d) · Falkowska W.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 100 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
30°CMainly clear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 35%

Draw