
Roman Andres Burruchaga advanced to the quarterfinals of the Umag tournament with a 6-2, 6-4 victory over Flavio Cobolli in the Round of 16. Burruchaga converted 57% of his break points and won 76% of his first-serve points, compared to 50% and 64% for Cobolli. Burruchaga secured four service breaks to Cobolli's one, and hit three aces to Cobolli's two, while both players committed three and two double faults, respectively.
“One of the best matches of the year”
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No previous meetings on record.
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Clear favourite · Cobolli F. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Cobolli F.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Burruchaga R.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 60 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About