Sapfo Sakellaridi vs Miriana TonaAthens Round of 32

Athens · WTA · Round of 32
#442WTA
1164ELO
1099Hard ELO
23 yrs
Last 10
LLLWLWWLLL
Sets
Tuesday, 14 July 2026 ·
hard
GRANDSTAND · 2nd on
#384WTA
1275ELO
1276Hard ELO
31 yrs
Last 10
LWLLLWLLWL
Sakellaridi S.
vs
Tona M.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 03:21 UTC
Sakellaridi S.39%
Tona M.61%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Tona M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.8Hard Elo 1099
Surface ELO
7.2+177 Hard Elo edge
5.2Overall Elo 1164
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1275
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.37 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.47 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

36 vs 26 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
54%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
58%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
54%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
48%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.9
1.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.2
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Sakellaridi S.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Tona M.

Tona M.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Sakellaridi S.

Serve advantage — Sakellaridi S.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
82

Tona M.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

2nd on GRANDSTAND · not before Followed by · 1 match still to finish ahead

  1. 1Ito A. v Korneeva A.
  2. 2Sakellaridi S. v Tona M.This match
  3. 3Valentova T. v Costoulas S.

Conditions

Weather forecast
30°CClear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 44%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.