Julia Riera vs Darja SemenistajaRome Round of 32

Rome · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#175WTA
1563ELO
1533Clay ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 14 July 2026 ·
clay
#103WTA
1654ELO
1636Clay ELO
23 yrs · 169 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWLWW
Riera J.
6-1 4-6 6-1
Semenistaja D.
Riera J.
6462
Semenistaja D.
1611

Julia Riera defeated Darja Semenistaja in the Round of 32 at the Rome tournament on clay, winning 6-1, 4-6, 6-1. Riera hit 5 aces and 4 double faults, while Semenistaja had 1 ace and 0 double faults. Riera converted 54% of her break points and broke Semenistaja's serve 7 times, compared to Semenistaja's 3 breaks.

Key context

  • Match story: Julia Riera came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 4–6 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
46%
Service points won·Even
56%
54%
Return points won·Even
47%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
48%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.2
1.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.8
1.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
26
76
Break points saved·Even
49
52
Break points won·Clear edge
73
96
Deciding sets·Dominant
39
94
Tiebreaks·Dominant
27
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Riera J.21%
Semenistaja D.79%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Semenistaja D. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.7Clay Elo 1533
Surface ELO
6.3+103 Clay Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1563
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1654
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
7.78 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.46 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
65
83

Riera J.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 57 games (7d) · Semenistaja D.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 24 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
33°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 37%

Draw