Stefano Travaglia vs Martin Krumich — Bastad Round of 32
Travaglia S.
Stefano Travaglia faces Martin Krumich in the Bastad round of 32 on clay. Stefano Travaglia is the paper favourite — ranked #150, a roughly 100-point clay Elo advantage — but Martin Krumich arrives in form, winning 5 of their last 8 on clay to Stefano Travaglia's 3.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Travaglia S. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Stefano Travaglia comes in with 13 days of rest and 20 games in 14d, vs Martin Krumich's 1 and 69.
- Surface form: Stefano Travaglia 3 of 8, Martin Krumich 5 of 8 on clay recently — Martin Krumich the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadTravaglia S.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Krumich M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 69 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
When it starts
2nd on COURT 3 · not before Followed By · 1 match still to finish ahead
- 1Diaz Acosta F. v Midon L.
- 2Travaglia S. v Krumich M.This match
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.