Clara Tauson vs Nao Hibino — Athens Round of 32

Athens · WTA · Round of 32

DEN

#30WTA

1802ELO

1775Hard ELO

$792kYTD

$5.2MCAREER

23 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

LLWWLLLLLL

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Sets

Tuesday, 14 July 2026 · 19:30

hard

CENTER COURT · 2nd on

JPNQ

#235WTA

1560ELO

1523Hard ELO

31 yrs · 163 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WLWLLWWLWW

Tauson C.

vs

Hibino N.

Clara Tauson faces Nao Hibino in the Athens round of 32 on hard. Clara Tauson holds the paper edge — ranked #30, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 250-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 01:20 UTC

Tauson C.85%

Hibino N.15%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Tauson C. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Freshness: Clara Tauson comes in with 13 days of rest and 18 games in 14d, vs Nao Hibino's 1 and 16.
Under pressure: In the tight moments, Clara Tauson has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 73 vs 53).
Last match: Nao Hibino handed Miriana Tona a second-set bagel in a 6–4 6–0 win.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

6.9

Slight advantageUmpiry Score

5.4

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

8.2+252 Hard Elo edge

Surface ELO

1.8Hard Elo 1523

7.0Overall Elo 1802

ELO gap

3.0Overall Elo 1560

7.8Leads 2–0 on hard

H2H

2.2Trails 0–2 on hard

4.65 of last 10 on hard

Surface form

4.95 of last 10 on hard

0.0Lost last 2

Win streak

Fatigue & Travel

7.0Grass → Hard

Surface transition

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Tauson C.Stable

Hibino N.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

13 vs 27 matches

Statistics

This season

Tauson C.Hibino N.

1st serve in·Slight edge

63%

69%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

72%

63%

2nd serve points won·Slight edge

40%

46%

Service points won·Even

60%

58%

Return points won·Even

42%

45%

Break points saved·Even

57%

56%

Aces / match·Dominant

7.1

2.4

Double faults / match·Clear edge

3.1

2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (13 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Tauson C.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Hibino N.

Hibino N.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Tauson C.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure

Tauson C.Hibino N.

Clutch Rating·Clear edge

73

53

Break points saved·Dominant

93

39

Break points won·Even

93

91

Deciding sets·Slight edge

57

66

Tiebreaks·Even

80

81

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Serve & return on hard

Tauson C.Hibino N.

56

Serve

—

39

Return

—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Freshness

Recent load

Tauson C.Hibino N.

Freshness·Slight edge

98

89

Tauson C.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Hibino N.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

2nd on CENTER COURT · not before Not before 7:30 PM · 1 match still to finish ahead

Conditions

Weather forecast

30°CClear

Wind 14 km/hHumidity 44%

Head to head

1–0

Date	Tournament	Round	Surface	Winner	Score
2024-10-21	Tokyo	R32	hard	Clara Tauson	6-2 6-3

R32

R16

Quarter-finals

Semi-finals

Final

Tauson C.

Hibino N.

M. Argyrokastriti

Krejcikova B.[3]

Bouzas Maneiro J.[6]

Grammatikopoulou V.

Valentova T.[7]

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