Fiona Ferro vs Aurora ZantedeschiRome Round of 32

Rome · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#189WTA
1662ELO
1605Clay ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWWWW
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 14 July 2026 ·
clay
#292WTA
1302ELO
1301Clay ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWW
Ferro F.
4-6 6-2 3-6
Zantedeschi A.
Ferro F.
4631
Zantedeschi A.
6262

Aurora Zantedeschi defeated Fiona Ferro in the Round of 32 at the Rome tournament on clay, winning 6-4, 2-6, 6-3. The match saw Zantedeschi hit one ace and one double fault, while Ferro had none of either. Both players converted 44% and 36% of break points respectively and each won four service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
50%
Service points won·Even
56%
57%
Return points won·Even
47%
50%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
54%
Aces / match·Even
1.6
1.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.0
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Ferro F.89%
Zantedeschi A.11%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Ferro F. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.8+304 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.2Clay Elo 1301
9.5Overall Elo 1662
ELO gap
0.5Overall Elo 1302
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.56 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.68 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3.0Grass → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
85
62

Ferro F.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d) · Zantedeschi A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 89 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
35°CMainly clear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 30%

Draw