Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Miguel DamasBastad Round of 32

Bastad · ATP · Round of 32
#71ATP
1740ELO
1708Clay ELO
$396kYTD
$653kCAREER
22 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLLWLWWW
Sets
Tuesday, 14 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 2 · 1st on
#300ATP
1398ELO
1370Clay ELO
26 yrs · 208 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWWWLLLL
Vallejo A.
vs
Damas M.

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo faces Miguel Damas in the Bastad round of 32 on clay. Adolfo Daniel Vallejo holds the paper edge — ranked #71, a roughly 340-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTC
Vallejo A.89%
Damas M.11%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Vallejo A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
9.2+338 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.8Clay Elo 1370
9.3Overall Elo 1740
ELO gap
0.7Overall Elo 1398
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.66 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.05 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Vallejo A.Cooling
Damas M.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

41 vs 33 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.1
1.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (41 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Vallejo A.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Damas M.

Damas M.serving45% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Vallejo A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
53
0
Break points saved·Dominant
71
29
Break points won·Dominant
65
17
Deciding sets·Dominant
85
1
Tiebreaks·Dominant
0
40

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
86
59

Vallejo A.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 32 games (7d) · Damas M.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 103 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

1st on COURT 2 · not before Starts At 12:00 · up next on court

  1. 1Vallejo A. v Damas M.This match
  2. 2Choinski J. v Basilashvili N.

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather forecast
25°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 64%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.