Mika Brunold vs Buvaysar GadamauriBunschoten Round of 32

Bunschoten · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#408ATP
1466ELO
1407Clay ELO
21 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWWWWLWW
Sets
Tuesday, 14 July 2026 ·
clay
#255ATP
1558ELO
1526Clay ELO
26 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWLWWLWW
Brunold M.
vs
Gadamauri B.

Mika Brunold faces Buvaysar Gadamauri in the Bunschoten round of 32 on clay. Buvaysar Gadamauri holds the paper edge — ranked #255, a roughly 120-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:20 UTC
Brunold M.30%
Gadamauri B.70%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Gadamauri B. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Surface form: Both 6 of 10 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.5Clay Elo 1407
Surface ELO
6.5+119 Clay Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1466
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1558
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.96 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.36 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

16 vs 36 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
57%
55%
Service points won·Even
62%
64%
Return points won·Even
39%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.4
3.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.9
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Brunold M.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Gadamauri B.

Gadamauri B.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Brunold M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
96

Gadamauri B.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 12 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather forecast
23°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 65%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.