Justin Boulais vs Zhizhen ZhangGranby Round of 32

Granby · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#398ATP
1352ELO
1326Hard ELO
24 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 14 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 4 · 3rd on
#158ATP
1682ELO
1642Hard ELO
$546kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
29 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWWWW
Boulais J.
6-2 7-6
Zhang Z.
Boulais J.
6782
Zhang Z.
2660

Justin Boulais defeated Zhizhen Zhang in the Round of 32 at the Granby tournament, winning 6-2, 7-6 on hard courts. Boulais and Zhang were even in aces and nearly even in double faults, but Boulais converted a higher percentage of first serves and break points. Boulais secured 3 service breaks to Zhang's 1, advancing him in the competition.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Even
62%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
33%
Break points saved·Even
65%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.1
8.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.6
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
5
46
Break points saved·Dominant
50
89
Break points won·Clear edge
5
26
Deciding sets·Dominant
13
88
Tiebreaks·Dominant
33
6

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Boulais J.29%
Zhang Z.71%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Zhang Z. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.1Hard Elo 1326
Surface ELO
8.9+316 Hard Elo edge
0.9Overall Elo 1352
ELO gap
9.1Overall Elo 1682
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.07 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.86 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
83
100

Boulais J.: played today · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Zhang Z.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 78%

Draw