Paula Badosa vs Anhelina KalininaIasi Round of 32

Iasi · WTA · Round of 32
#115WTA
1780ELO
1684Clay ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 14 July 2026 ·
clay
#59WTA
1827ELO
1806Clay ELO
29 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWLWLLWW
Badosa P.
6-3 6-1
Kalinina A.
Badosa P.
662
Kalinina A.
310

Paula Badosa defeated Anhelina Kalinina 6-3, 6-1 in the Round of 32 at the Iasi tournament on clay. Badosa hit one ace and four double faults, while Kalinina had two aces and seven double faults. Badosa converted 62% of her break points and won five service breaks to Kalinina's two.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
56%
69%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
62%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
39%
49%
Service points won·Even
56%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
49%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.8
1.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
7.6
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
87
40
Break points saved·Dominant
76
6
Break points won·Slight edge
94
86
Deciding sets·Slight edge
92
82
Tiebreaks·Dominant
93
1

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Badosa P.29%
Kalinina A.71%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Kalinina A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
3.5Clay Elo 1684
Surface ELO
6.5+121 Clay Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1780
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1827
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.57 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.57 of last 10 on clay
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
3.0Grass → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
50
95

Badosa P.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 103 games (7d) · Kalinina A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
25°CShowers
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 75%

Draw