Fabian Marozsan vs Juan Carlos Prado AngeloUmag Round of 32

Umag · ATP · Round of 32
#54ATP
1784ELO
1716Clay ELO
$728kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
26 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWWLWLL
Sets
Tuesday, 14 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 1 · 3rd on
#173ATP
1576ELO
1554Clay ELO
$163kYTD
$320kCAREER
21 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLLLLWWWL
Marozsan F.
vs
Prado Angelo J.

Fabian Marozsan faces Juan Carlos Prado Angelo in the Umag round of 32 on clay. Fabian Marozsan holds the paper edge — ranked #54, a roughly 160-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 03:21 UTC
Marozsan F.74%
Prado Angelo J.26%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Marozsan F. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.0+162 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Clay Elo 1554
7.6Overall Elo 1784
ELO gap
2.4Overall Elo 1576
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.75 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.45 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
3.0Grass → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

22 vs 23 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
41%
Break points saved·Even
57%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.0
2.2
Double faults / match·Even
2.0
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Marozsan F.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Prado Angelo J.

Prado Angelo J.serving70% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Marozsan F.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
71
46
Break points saved·Dominant
97
40
Break points won·Slight edge
36
30
Deciding sets·Slight edge
82
91
Tiebreaks·Dominant
95
70

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Serve & return on clay

Marozsan F.Prado Angelo J.
51
Serve
17
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
95
71

Marozsan F.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Prado Angelo J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 59 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

3rd on COURT 1 · not before Not Before 19:30 · 2 matches still to finish ahead

  1. 1Molcan A. v Royer V.
  2. 2Sesko Z. v Merida Aguilar D.
  3. 3Marozsan F. v Prado Angelo J.This match

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather forecast
28°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 61%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.