Rina Saigo vs Priska Madelyn NugrohoIstanbul 2 Qualifying Final

Istanbul 2 · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
#274WTA
1307ELO
1293Hard ELO
25 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 13 July 2026 ·
hard
#395WTA
1246ELO
1231Hard ELO
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLLL
Saigo R.
4-6 2-6
Madelyn Nugroho P.
Saigo R.
420
Madelyn Nugroho P.
662

Priska Madelyn Nugroho won the final of the Istanbul 2 hard-court tournament, defeating Rina Saigo 6-4, 6-2. Nugroho and Saigo were even in aces with one each, and Nugroho did not commit a double fault while Saigo had one. Nugroho won 60% of her first-serve points to Saigo's 35%, and converted 67% of her break points to Saigo's 100%, with Nugroho ultimately securing six service breaks to Saigo's three.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
56%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
42%
44%
Service points won·Even
51%
54%
Return points won·Even
45%
41%
Break points saved·Even
53%
54%
Aces / match·Even
1.3
1.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.2
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Saigo R.78%
Madelyn Nugroho P.22%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Saigo R. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.8+61 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Hard Elo 1231
5.8Overall Elo 1307
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1246
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.17 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.14 of last 10 on hard
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 45%

Draw