Rina Saigo vs Priska Madelyn Nugroho

Istanbul 2 · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final

JPN1

Rina Saigo

#318WTA

1307ELO

1293Hard ELO

25 yrs

Last 10 · pre-match

WLWWWLWWLL

0 — 2

Sets

Monday, 13 July 2026 · 14:40

hard

INAQ

Priska Madelyn Nugroho

1246ELO

1231Hard ELO

23 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

WLLLWLWWLL

Saigo R.

4-6 2-6

Nugroho P.

Saigo R.

420

Nugroho P.

662

Priska Madelyn Nugroho dropped just six games in a straight-sets win over Rina Saigo in the Istanbul 2 qualifying final.

Key context

Set 2, game 6: Priska Madelyn Nugroho broke serve.
Pressure points: Rina Saigo converted 3 of 3 break points; Priska Madelyn Nugroho converted 6 of 9 break points.

Pressure & serve by court

Saigo R.

Nugroho P.

Break points won

3/3

6/9

Break points saved

3/9

0/3

Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season

Saigo R.serving54% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Nugroho P.

Nugroho P.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Saigo R.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season

Saigo R.Nugroho P.

1st serve in·Even

64%

65%

1st serve points won·Even

57%

61%

2nd serve points won·Even

42%

43%

Service points won·Even

51%

55%

Return points won·Slight edge

45%

40%

Break points saved·Even

50%

53%

Aces / match·Even

1.3

1.1

Double faults / match·Dominant

3.4

1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:21 UTC

Saigo R.78%

Nugroho P.22%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Saigo R. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Saigo R.

6.1

Even matchUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Nugroho P.

4.8

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

5.8+61 Hard Elo edge

Surface ELO

4.2Hard Elo 1231

6.2Overall Elo 1307

ELO gap

3.8Overall Elo 1246

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

7.27 of last 10 on hard

Surface form

4.44 of last 10 on hard

7.04-match win streak

Win streak

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.