Karl Poling vs Kenta MiyoshiGranby Qualifying Final

Granby · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
#508ATP
1314ELO
1320Hard ELO
26 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWWWWLW
1 — 2
Sets
Monday, 13 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 4 · 2nd on
#817ATP
1476ELO
1447Hard ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWLLLWL
Poling K.
6-7 7-5 5-7
Miyoshi K.
Poling K.
65751
Miyoshi K.
77572

Kenta Miyoshi came through a 37-game battle to beat Karl Poling 7-6 5-7 7-5 in the Granby qualifying final.

Key context

  • Set 1, game 2: A 13-point game with four deuces went Kenta Miyoshi's way.
  • Momentum: Karl Poling won five games in a row.
  • Set 3, game 5: Karl Poling broke serve.
  • Pressure points: Karl Poling converted 4 of 18 break points; Kenta Miyoshi converted 4 of 12 break points.

Pressure & serve by court

Poling K.
Miyoshi K.
Break points won
4/18
4/12
Break points saved
8/12
14/18

Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
66%
1st serve points won·
68%
2nd serve points won·
52%
Service points won·
63%
Return points won·
40%
Break points saved·
61%
Aces / match·
1.6
Double faults / match·
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:21 UTC
Poling K.20%
Miyoshi K.80%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Miyoshi K. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.4Hard Elo 1320
Surface ELO
6.6+126 Hard Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1314
ELO gap
7.0Overall Elo 1476
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.48 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.95 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
78
85

Poling K.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d) · Miyoshi K.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 52%