Martha Matoula vs Elena MicicAthens Round of 32

Athens · WTA · Round of 32
#301WTA
1400ELO
1339Hard ELO
29 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLLWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 13 July 2026 ·
hard
GRANDSTAND · 3rd on
#302WTA
1399ELO
1380Hard ELO
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLLLLLW
Matoula M.
5-7 3-6
Micic E.
Matoula M.
530
Micic E.
762

Elena Micic got past Martha Matoula 7-5 6-3 in the Athens round of 32 on hard.

Key context

  • Set 1, game 7: A 19-point game with seven deuces went Martha Matoula's way.
  • Set 1, game 10: Martha Matoula saved five break points to hold serve.
  • Set 1, game 10: A 17-point game with six deuces went Martha Matoula's way.
  • Pressure points: Martha Matoula converted 5 of 12 break points; Elena Micic converted 7 of 17 break points.

Pressure & serve by court

Matoula M.
Micic E.
Break points won
5/12
7/17
Break points saved
10/17
7/12

Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Matoula M.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Micic E.

Micic E.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Matoula M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
59%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
42%
Service points won·Even
54%
56%
Return points won·Even
48%
44%
Break points saved·Even
54%
52%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.8
2.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:21 UTC
Matoula M.42%
Micic E.58%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.5Hard Elo 1339
Surface ELO
5.5+41 Hard Elo edge
5.2Overall Elo 1400
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1399
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.06 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.74 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
95
72

Matoula M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Micic E.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 42 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
29°CMainly clear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 51%