Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Lautaro MidonBastad Qualifying Final

Bastad · ATP · Qualifying Final
1517ELO
1505Clay ELO
29 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWLWWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 13 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTRE COURT · 1st on
1526ELO
1508Clay ELO
22 yrs · 180 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLWLLWL
Ribeiro Marcondes I.
6-7 5-7
Midon L.
Ribeiro Marcondes I.
6750
Midon L.
7972

A decisive break in the second set settled it as Lautaro Midon got past Igor Ribeiro Marcondes 7-6 7-5 in the Bastad qualifying final.

Key context

  • Set 2, game 1: A 15-point game with five deuces went Igor Ribeiro Marcondes's way.
  • Pressure points: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes converted 1 of 4 break points; Lautaro Midon converted 2 of 2 break points.

Pressure & serve by court

Ribeiro Marcondes I.
Midon L.
Break points won
1/4
2/2
Break points saved
0/2
3/4

Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Ribeiro Marcondes I.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Midon L.

Midon L.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Ribeiro Marcondes I.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
57%
Return points won·Even
41%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.1
3.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:20 UTC
Ribeiro Marcondes I.44%
Midon L.56%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0Clay Elo 1505
Surface ELO
5.0+3 Clay Elo edge
4.9Overall Elo 1517
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1526
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.26 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.87 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
72
64

Ribeiro Marcondes I.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d) · Midon L.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 80 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 82%