Mark Lajal vs Trevor Svajda — Lincoln Round of 32
Lincoln · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
EST#164ATP
1589ELO
1556Hard ELO
$97kYTD
$654kCAREER
23 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLWWLWLW
—
Sets
Monday, 13 July 2026 ·
hard
Lajal M.vs
Svajda T.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTCLajal M.71%
Svajda T.29%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Lajal M. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
6.3+106 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO3.7Hard Elo 1450
6.3Overall Elo 1588
ELO gap3.7Overall Elo 1485
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
6.16 of last 10 on hard
Surface form2.63 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transitionContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
22 vs 7 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
58%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
69%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.4
3.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
2.3
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 7). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonServe advantage — Lajal M.
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Conditions
Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.