Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Andrea Pellegrino — Bastad Round of 32
Budkov Kjaer N.
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer faces Andrea Pellegrino in the Bastad round of 32 on clay. Nicolai Budkov Kjaer holds the paper edge — ranked #121, defending last year's round of 16.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer comes in with 16 days of rest and 0 games in 14d, vs Andrea Pellegrino's 3 and 47.
- Stage: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer defends last year's round of 16; Andrea Pellegrino defends last year's round of 16.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadBudkov Kjaer N.: 16 days rest · Pellegrino A.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.