Masamichi Imamura vs James MccabeLincoln Round of 32

Lincoln · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#417ATP
1328ELO
1297Hard ELO
27 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLWWWWLW
Sets
Monday, 13 July 2026 ·
hard
#207ATP
1532ELO
1481Hard ELO
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWLWWWLW
Imamura M.
vs
Mccabe J.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTC
Imamura M.17%
Mccabe J.83%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Mccabe J. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.7Hard Elo 1297
Surface ELO
7.3+184 Hard Elo edge
2.4Overall Elo 1328
ELO gap
7.6Overall Elo 1532
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
6.47 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.24 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

27 vs 21 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
51%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.0
9.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.7
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Imamura M.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Mccabe J.

Mccabe J.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Imamura M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
87
91

Imamura M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d) · Mccabe J.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.