Harmony Tan vs Lucie HavlickovaIstanbul 2 Round of 32

Istanbul 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#200WTA
1585ELO
1547Hard ELO
28 yrs · 171 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLWWWWLW
Sets
Monday, 13 July 2026 ·
hard
#209WTA
1543ELO
1544Hard ELO
21 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLLLWWLW
Tan H.
vs
Havlickova L.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:21 UTC
Tan H.69%
Havlickova L.31%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Tan H. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0+3 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.0Hard Elo 1544
5.5Overall Elo 1585
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1543
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
7.58 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.25 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 6
Fatigue & Travel
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Tan H.Cooling

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

24 vs 20 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
54%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
45%
Service points won·Even
59%
58%
Return points won·Even
45%
42%
Break points saved·Even
60%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.5
4.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.4
6.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Tan H.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Havlickova L.

Havlickova L.serving58% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Tan H.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Tan H.: 17 days rest · Havlickova L.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
29°CMainly clear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 43%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.