Daniil Glinka vs Garrett JohnsGranby Round of 32

Granby · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#168ATP
1477ELO
1491Hard ELO
$127kYTD
$264kCAREER
26 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LLWLLLLWLW
Sets
Monday, 13 July 2026 ·
hard
#382ATP
1336ELO
1323Hard ELO
25 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWLLLLWW
Glinka D.
vs
Johns G.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTC
Glinka D.75%
Johns G.25%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Glinka D. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.1+168 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.9Hard Elo 1323
6.8Overall Elo 1477
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1336
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.84 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
1.62 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Glinka D.Stable
Johns G.Cooling

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

30 vs 26 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
53%
Service points won·Even
61%
61%
Return points won·Even
39%
40%
Break points saved·Even
59%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.9
2.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.7
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Glinka D.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Johns G.

Johns G.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Glinka D.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
23
36
Break points saved·Clear edge
82
66
Break points won·Slight edge
9
3
Deciding sets·Dominant
7
90
Tiebreaks·Dominant
72
12

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
81
57

Glinka D.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Johns G.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 95 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.