Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Taro DanielBastad Qualifying Final

Bastad · ATP · Qualifying Final
#362ATP
1360ELO
1341Clay ELO
25 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWLWWWL
1 — 2
Sets
Monday, 13 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTRE COURT · 2nd on
#194ATP
1567ELO
1542Clay ELO
33 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWWWWW
Sanchez Jover C.
2-6 6-2 2-6
Daniel T.
Sanchez Jover C.
2621
Daniel T.
6262

Carlos Sanchez Jover reeled off six straight games on the way to a 6-2 2-6 6-2 win over Carlos Sanchez Jover in the Bastad qualifying final.

Key context

  • Set 1, game 1: A 21-point game with eight deuces went Carlos Sanchez Jover's way.
  • Set 3, game 1: Taro Daniel broke serve.
  • Pressure points: Carlos Sanchez Jover converted 3 of 8 break points; Taro Daniel converted 5 of 14 break points.

Pressure & serve by court

Sanchez Jover C.
Daniel T.
Break points won
3/8
5/14
Break points saved
9/14
5/8

Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Sanchez Jover C.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Daniel T.

Daniel T.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Sanchez Jover C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
55%
Service points won·Even
58%
62%
Return points won·Even
42%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.7
3.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.0
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
28
42
Break points saved·Dominant
26
93
Break points won·Clear edge
52
37
Deciding sets·Dominant
64
16
Tiebreaks·Dominant
21
81

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:21 UTC
Sanchez Jover C.26%
Daniel T.74%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Daniel T. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
2.5Clay Elo 1341
Surface ELO
7.5+201 Clay Elo edge
2.4Overall Elo 1360
ELO gap
7.6Overall Elo 1567
2.2Trails 0–2 on clay
H2H
7.8Leads 2–0 on clay
5.96 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
8.69 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
87
69

Sanchez Jover C.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 32 games (7d) · Daniel T.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 75 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 80%