Thomas Faurel vs Miguel Damas — Bastad Qualifying Final

Bastad · ATP · Qualifying Final

FRA

Thomas Faurel

#319ATP

1459ELO

1424Clay ELO

20 yrs

Last 10 · pre-match

WLLLWLWLWW

1 — 2

Sets

Monday, 13 July 2026 · 13:40

clay

COURT 1 · 2nd on

ESPQ

Miguel Damas

#300ATP

1398ELO

1370Clay ELO

26 yrs · 208 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

WLWWWLLLLW

Faurel T.

6-3 6-7 4-6

Damas M.

Faurel T.

66⁶41

Damas M.

37⁸62

Miguel Damas saved three match points before defeating Thomas Faurel in the Bastad qualifying final.

Key context

Set 3, game 1: Thomas Faurel broke serve.
Comeback: Miguel Damas recovered from a set deficit to win.
Pressure points: Thomas Faurel converted 5 of 13 break points; Miguel Damas converted 4 of 8 break points.

Pressure & serve by court

Faurel T.

Damas M.

Break points won

5/13

4/8

Break points saved

4/8

8/13

Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season

Faurel T.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Damas M.

Damas M.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Faurel T.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season

Faurel T.Damas M.

1st serve in·Even

65%

62%

1st serve points won·Even

63%

60%

2nd serve points won·Even

54%

50%

Service points won·Even

60%

56%

Return points won·Even

40%

43%

Break points saved·Even

56%

53%

Aces / match·Slight edge

2.3

1.2

Double faults / match·Clear edge

1.5

2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:21 UTC

Faurel T.64%

Damas M.36%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Faurel T. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Faurel T.

5.3

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Damas M.

5.1

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

5.7+54 Clay Elo edge

Surface ELO

4.3Clay Elo 1370

5.8Overall Elo 1459

ELO gap

4.2Overall Elo 1398

5.0First meeting on clay

H2H

5.0First meeting on clay

4.65 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

5.55 of last 10 on clay

Fatigue & Travel

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

3-set count

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.