Paula Badosa vs Anhelina KalininaIasi Round of 32

Iasi · WTA · Round of 32
#141WTA
1780ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWWLLWWL
Sets
Monday, 13 July 2026 ·
#66WTA
1827ELO
29 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLWLLWWW
Badosa P.
vs
Kalinina A.

Paula Badosa faces Anhelina Kalinina in the Iasi round of 32. Anhelina Kalinina is the paper favourite — ranked #66, a roughly 50-point Elo advantage — but Paula Badosa rides a 5-match win streak.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
4.9Overall Elo 1780
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1827
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

19 vs 37 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
56%
69%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
62%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
39%
49%
Service points won·Even
56%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
49%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.8
1.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
7.6
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Badosa P.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Kalinina A.

Kalinina A.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Badosa P.

Serve advantage — Kalinina A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
93
82
Break points saved·Clear edge
95
82
Break points won·Even
94
97
Deciding sets·Even
95
97
Tiebreaks·Dominant
94
58

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
64
95

Badosa P.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 74 games (7d) · Kalinina A.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.