Ayla Aksu vs Vendula ValdmannovaIstanbul 2

Istanbul 2 · CHALLENGER
#210WTA
1521ELO
1513Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWLWLWLW
Sets
Monday, 13 July 2026 ·
hard
#202WTA
1608ELO
1602Hard ELO
18 yrs
Last 10
LLWWLWLWWW
Aksu A.
vs
Valdmannova V.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:21 UTC
Aksu A.35%
Valdmannova V.65%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Valdmannova V. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Hard Elo 1513
Surface ELO
6.1+89 Hard Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1521
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1608
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
6.46 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
9.29 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

25 vs 33 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
47%
Service points won·Even
56%
57%
Return points won·Even
47%
46%
Break points saved·Even
52%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.5
2.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.6
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Aksu A.serving51% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Valdmannova V.

Valdmannova V.serving51% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Aksu A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Aksu A.: 21 days rest · Valdmannova V.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
29°CMainly clear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 43%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.