Timofey Skatov vs Vitaliy Sachko — Gstaad Qualifying Final

Gstaad · ATP · Qualifying Final

KAZQ

Timofey Skatov

#163ATP

1544ELO

1531Clay ELO

$107kYTD

$1.1MCAREER

25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWLLWWLLLW

2 — 0

Sets

Sunday, 12 July 2026 · 13:05

clay

COURT 1 · 2nd on

UKR5

Vitaliy Sachko

#195ATP

1584ELO

1550Clay ELO

$158kYTD

$835kCAREER

28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

WLLWWWLWWL

Skatov T.

6-2 6-4

Sachko V.

Skatov T.

662

Sachko V.

240

Timofey Skatov won five games in a row to see off Vitaliy Sachko 6-2 6-4 in the Gstaad qualifying final.

Key context

Set 1, game 5: Timofey Skatov broke serve.
Set 2, game 7: Timofey Skatov broke serve.
Pressure points: Timofey Skatov converted 3 of 6 break points; Vitaliy Sachko converted 0 of 0 break points.

Pressure & serve by court

Skatov T.

Sachko V.

Break points won

3/6

—

Break points saved

—

3/6

Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season

Skatov T.serving70% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Sachko V.

Sachko V.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Skatov T.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season

Skatov T.Sachko V.

1st serve in·Even

62%

63%

1st serve points won·Even

69%

66%

2nd serve points won·Even

50%

48%

Service points won·Even

62%

59%

Return points won·Even

39%

40%

Break points saved·Even

59%

56%

Aces / match·Even

3.1

3.6

Double faults / match·Even

2.6

2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure

Skatov T.Sachko V.

Clutch Rating·Clear edge

Break points saved·Even

Break points won·Clear edge

Deciding sets·Dominant

Tiebreaks·Clear edge

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:20 UTC

Skatov T.47%

Sachko V.53%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Skatov T.

5.2

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Sachko V.

5.8

Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

4.8Clay Elo 1531

Surface ELO

5.2+19 Clay Elo edge

4.5Overall Elo 1544

ELO gap

5.5Overall Elo 1584

5.0First meeting on clay

H2H

5.0First meeting on clay

5.46 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

7.78 of last 10 on clay

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.