Nicolas Mejia vs Matias Soto — Bogota Final
Mejia N.
Nicolas Mejia faces Matias Soto in the Bogota final on clay. Nicolas Mejia holds the paper edge — ranked #165, a roughly 80-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 00:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Mejia N. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Nicolas Mejia comes in with 1 days of rest and 156 games in 14d, vs Matias Soto's 1 and 134.
- Last match: Matias Soto edged L. Claverie in two tight sets (7–5 7–5).
- Win streak: Both arrive on four-match winning runs.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.