Martin Krumich vs Frederico Ferreira SilvaBastad Qualifying Semi-final

Bastad · ATP · Qualifying Semi-final
#278ATP
1459ELO
1423Clay ELO
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 12 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 3 · 1st on
#233ATP
1468ELO
1404Clay ELO
31 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLLLL
Krumich M.
6-4 6-2
Ferreira Silva F.
Krumich M.
662
Ferreira Silva F.
420

Martin Krumich dropped just six games in a straight-sets win over Frederico Ferreira Silva in the Bastad qualifying semi-final.

Key context

  • Set 1, game 3: Martin Krumich broke serve.
  • Set 2, game 1: Martin Krumich broke serve.
  • Pressure points: Martin Krumich converted 3 of 6 break points; Frederico Ferreira Silva converted 0 of 0 break points.

Pressure & serve by court

Krumich M.
Ferreira Silva F.
Break points won
3/6
Break points saved
3/6

Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Krumich M.serving70% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Ferreira Silva F.

Ferreira Silva F.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Krumich M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
51%
Service points won·Even
63%
60%
Return points won·Even
40%
41%
Break points saved·Even
63%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.9
1.4
Double faults / match·Even
2.4
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
24
34
Break points saved·Slight edge
70
80
Break points won·Dominant
53
26
Deciding sets·Dominant
9
56
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
22
6

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:22 UTC
Krumich M.57%
Ferreira Silva F.43%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.2+19 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Clay Elo 1404
4.9Overall Elo 1459
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1468
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.66 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
2.32 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
72
77

Krumich M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 69 games (7d) · Ferreira Silva F.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
24°CMainly clear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 58%