Clement Tabur vs Marc Andrea HueslerGstaad Qualifying Final

Gstaad · ATP · Qualifying Final
#189ATP
1607ELO
1553Clay ELO
$199kYTD
$640kCAREER
26 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWWLWLWW
Sets
Sunday, 12 July 2026 ·
clay
#311ATP
1504ELO
1480Clay ELO
30 yrs · 196 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
WLLLWLLWWL
Tabur C.
vs
Huesler M.

Clement Tabur faces Marc Andrea Huesler in the Gstaad qualifying final on clay. Clement Tabur holds the paper edge — ranked #189, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 70-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:21 UTC
Tabur C.69%
Huesler M.31%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Tabur C. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.9+74 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Clay Elo 1480
6.3Overall Elo 1607
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1504
7.8Leads 2–0 on clay
H2H
2.2Trails 0–2 on clay
5.76 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.45 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached qualifying here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Tabur C.Sliding

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

33 vs 22 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
34%
Break points saved·Even
63%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.4
8.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Tabur C.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Huesler M.

Huesler M.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Tabur C.

Serve advantage — Tabur C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
29
29
Break points saved·Clear edge
74
95
Break points won·Clear edge
23
7
Deciding sets·Clear edge
33
12
Tiebreaks·Dominant
40
70

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
87
100

Tabur C.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d) · Huesler M.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
24°CClear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 45%

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-16GenevaSFclayClement Tabur4-6 4-6