Amandine Hesse vs Yelyzaveta Kotliar — Rome Qualifying Final

Rome · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final

FRA4

Amandine Hesse

#404WTA

1433ELO

1376Clay ELO

33 yrs · 164 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWLLLLWWWL

1 — 2

Sets

Sunday, 12 July 2026 · 16:10

clay

COURT 1 · 1st on

UKRQ

Yelyzaveta Kotliar

#451WTA

1244ELO

1222Clay ELO

19 yrs

Last 10 · pre-match

LWWLLLWLWL

Hesse A.

3-6 7-5 3-6

Kotliar Y.

Hesse A.

3731

Kotliar Y.

6562

A decisive break in the first set settled it as Yelyzaveta Kotliar got past Amandine Hesse 6-3 5-7 6-3 in the Rome qualifying final.

Key context

Set 1, game 6: Yelyzaveta Kotliar saved three break points to hold serve.
Set 2, game 4: A 13-point game with four deuces went Amandine Hesse's way.
Pressure points: Amandine Hesse converted 6 of 16 break points; Yelyzaveta Kotliar converted 8 of 24 break points.

Pressure & serve by court

Hesse A.

Kotliar Y.

Break points won

6/16

8/24

Break points saved

16/24

10/16

Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season

Hesse A.serving25% hold

wins 39% of points on serve vs Kotliar Y.

Kotliar Y.serving45% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Hesse A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season

Hesse A.Kotliar Y.

1st serve in·Clear edge

50%

66%

1st serve points won·Even

61%

60%

2nd serve points won·Even

42%

41%

Service points won·Even

51%

54%

Return points won·Slight edge

44%

51%

Break points saved·Slight edge

45%

51%

Aces / match·Clear edge

2.3

0.1

Double faults / match·Even

3.8

3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:20 UTC

Hesse A.89%

Kotliar Y.11%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Hesse A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Hesse A.

6.1

Even matchUmpiry Score

Kotliar Y.

6.0

Even matchUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

6.9+154 Clay Elo edge

Surface ELO

3.1Clay Elo 1222

3.7Overall Elo 1433

ELO gap

6.3Overall Elo 1244

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

2.02 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

4.14 of last 10 on clay

0.0

Win streak

0.0

Fatigue & Travel

3-set count

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.