Titouan Droguet vs Zsombor PirosIasi Final

Iasi · CHALLENGER · Final
#116ATP
1717ELO
1681Clay ELO
$273kYTD
$1.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWLLWWWL
Sets
Sunday, 12 July 2026 ·
clay
#169ATP
1661ELO
1621Clay ELO
$145kYTD
$975kCAREER
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWWWWWWL
Droguet T.
vs
Piros Z.

Titouan Droguet faces Zsombor Piros in the Iasi final on clay. Titouan Droguet is the paper favourite — ranked #116, a roughly 60-point clay Elo advantage — but Zsombor Piros arrives in form, winning all 5 of their last clay matches to Titouan Droguet's 4.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:20 UTC
Droguet T.67%
Piros Z.33%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Droguet T. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.8+60 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Clay Elo 1620
5.7Overall Elo 1717
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1661
4.8Split 1–1 on clay
H2H
5.2Split 1–1 on clay
7.57 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
9.49 of last 10 on clay
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
10.09-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Piros Z.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

32 vs 29 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
56%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
63%
Return points won·Even
36%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
69%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.2
3.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.6
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Droguet T.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Piros Z.

Piros Z.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Droguet T.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
64
55
Break points saved·Even
88
84
Break points won·Clear edge
17
32
Deciding sets·Slight edge
93
85
Tiebreaks·Dominant
87
36

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
69
53

Droguet T.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d) · Piros Z.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 112 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather forecast
25°CMainly clear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 45%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.