Federico Coria vs Taro DanielBastad Qualifying Semi-final

Bastad · ATP · Qualifying Semi-final
#889ATP
1537ELO
1515Clay ELO
34 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 12 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 3 · 3rd on
#203ATP
1567ELO
1542Clay ELO
33 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Coria F.
0-6 2-6
Daniel T.
Coria F.
020
Daniel T.
662

Taro Daniel won six games in a row to see off Federico Coria 6-0 6-2 in the Bastad qualifying semi-final.

Key context

  • Set 2, game 2: Taro Daniel saved three break points to hold serve.
  • Set 2, game 3: Taro Daniel broke serve.
  • Pressure points: Federico Coria converted 0 of 5 break points; Taro Daniel converted 5 of 8 break points.

Pressure & serve by court

Coria F.
Daniel T.
Break points won
0/5
5/8
Break points saved
3/8
5/5

Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Coria F.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Daniel T.

Daniel T.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Coria F.

Serve advantage — Daniel T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
57%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
55%
Service points won·Slight edge
55%
62%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Even
68%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
0.7
3.9
Double faults / match·Even
1.0
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (3 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
67
42
Break points saved·Clear edge
71
93
Break points won·Dominant
72
37
Deciding sets·Dominant
78
16
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
76
81

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:21 UTC
Coria F.40%
Daniel T.60%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Daniel T. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Clay Elo 1515
Surface ELO
5.3+27 Clay Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1537
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1567
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
4.04 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
8.59 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
76
69

Coria F.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 53 games (7d) · Daniel T.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 75 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
27°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 60%