Marco Cecchinato vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri

Umag · ATP · Qualifying Final

ITAQ

Marco Cecchinato

#195ATP

1576ELO

1546Clay ELO

$149kYTD

$5.3MCAREER

33 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

WLWWWWLLWW

2 — 0

Sets

Sunday, 12 July 2026 · 17:05

clay

STUDENAC ARENA COURT 1 · 1st on

ARG5

Genaro Alberto Olivieri

#201ATP

1489ELO

1464Clay ELO

27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

WLLLWLWLWL

Cecchinato M.

6-2 6-4

Olivieri G.

Cecchinato M.

662

Olivieri G.

240

Marco Cecchinato reeled off five straight games on the way to a 6-2 6-4 win over Genaro Alberto Olivieri in the Umag qualifying final.

Key context

Set 1, game 6: Marco Cecchinato broke serve.
Set 2, game 10: Marco Cecchinato broke serve.
Pressure points: Marco Cecchinato converted 3 of 6 break points; Genaro Alberto Olivieri converted 0 of 0 break points.

Pressure & serve by court

Cecchinato M.

Olivieri G.

Break points won

3/6

—

Break points saved

—

3/6

Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season

Cecchinato M.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Olivieri G.

Olivieri G.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Cecchinato M.

Serve advantage — Cecchinato M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season

Cecchinato M.Olivieri G.

1st serve in·Clear edge

62%

76%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

69%

59%

2nd serve points won·Slight edge

56%

50%

Service points won·Slight edge

64%

57%

Return points won·Even

38%

41%

Break points saved·Slight edge

64%

57%

Aces / match·Clear edge

3.2

0.9

Double faults / match·Clear edge

2.4

1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure

Cecchinato M.Olivieri G.

Clutch Rating·Clear edge

Break points saved·Dominant

Break points won·Even

Deciding sets·Dominant

Tiebreaks·Clear edge

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:21 UTC

Cecchinato M.64%

Olivieri G.36%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Cecchinato M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Cecchinato M.

6.1

Even matchUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Olivieri G.

4.7

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

6.0+82 Clay Elo edge

Surface ELO

4.0Clay Elo 1464

6.1Overall Elo 1576

ELO gap

3.9Overall Elo 1489

7.0Leads 1–0 on clay

H2H

3.0Trails 0–1 on clay

7.27 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

4.95 of last 10 on clay

Fatigue & Travel

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

3-set count

6.1Won 68% in HR (22)

Country comfort

Context

6.0Reached qualifying here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.