Gonzalo Bueno vs Igor Ribeiro MarcondesBastad Qualifying Semi-final

Bastad · ATP · Qualifying Semi-final
#176ATP
1491ELO
1469Clay ELO
$136kYTD
$352kCAREER
22 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLLLL
0 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 12 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 2 · 1st on
1517ELO
1505Clay ELO
29 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWWLW
Bueno G.
4-6 6-7
Ribeiro Marcondes I.
Bueno G.
4650
Ribeiro Marcondes I.
6772

A decisive break in the first set settled it as Igor Ribeiro Marcondes got past Gonzalo Bueno 6-4 7-6 in the Bastad qualifying semi-final.

Key context

  • Pressure points: Gonzalo Bueno converted 1 of 4 break points; Igor Ribeiro Marcondes converted 2 of 5 break points.

Pressure & serve by court

Bueno G.
Ribeiro Marcondes I.
Break points won
1/4
2/5
Break points saved
3/5
3/4

Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Bueno G.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Ribeiro Marcondes I.

Ribeiro Marcondes I.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Bueno G.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
56%
64%
Return points won·Even
45%
41%
Break points saved·Even
60%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.1
4.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.8
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:22 UTC
Bueno G.44%
Ribeiro Marcondes I.56%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
4.6Clay Elo 1469
Surface ELO
5.4+36 Clay Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1491
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1517
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.42 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.76 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Surface transition
3.0Grass → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
81
72

Bueno G.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d) · Ribeiro Marcondes I.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
24°CMainly clear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 58%