Roberto Carballes Baena vs Carlos Sanchez Jover — Bastad Qualifying Semi-final

Bastad · ATP · Qualifying Semi-final
Roberto Carballes Baena
ESP2
Roberto Carballes Baena
#165ATP
1632ELO
1612Clay ELO
$188kYTD
$6.3MCAREER
33 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
0 — 1
Sets
Retired
Sunday, 12 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 3 · 4th on
Carlos Sanchez Jover
ESPALT
Carlos Sanchez Jover
#362ATP
1360ELO
1341Clay ELO
25 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWWWL
Carballes Baena R.
3-6 0-3
Sanchez Jover C.
Carballes Baena R.
300
Sanchez Jover C.
631

Carlos Sanchez Jover advanced when Roberto Carballes Baena retired 6-3 3-0 in the Bastad qualifying semi-final.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Carballes Baena R.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Sanchez Jover C.

Sanchez Jover C.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Carballes Baena R.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Carballes Baena R.Sanchez Jover C.
1st serve in·Even
67%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
58%
Return points won·Even
39%
42%
Break points saved·Even
56%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.3
1.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Carballes Baena R.Sanchez Jover C.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
61
28
Break points saved·Dominant
93
26
Break points won·Slight edge
58
52
Deciding sets·Even
64
64
Tiebreaks·Dominant
50
21

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:20 UTC
Carballes Baena R.80%
Sanchez Jover C.20%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Carballes Baena R. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Carballes Baena R.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Sanchez Jover C.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.4+271 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.6Clay Elo 1341
8.4Overall Elo 1632
ELO gap
1.6Overall Elo 1360
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.77 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.85 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3.0Grass → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Carballes Baena R.Sanchez Jover C.
Freshness·Slight edge
92
87

Carballes Baena R.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 12 games (7d) · Sanchez Jover C.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
28°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 61%