Juan Carlos Prado Angelo vs Nikolas Sanchez IzquierdoUmag Qualifying Final

Umag · ATP · Qualifying Final
#173ATP
1576ELO
1554Clay ELO
$163kYTD
$320kCAREER
21 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLLWWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 12 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 3 · 1st on
#217ATP
1563ELO
1532Clay ELO
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLLLWWL
Prado Angelo J.
6-3 7-6
Sanchez Izquierdo N.
Prado Angelo J.
6772
Sanchez Izquierdo N.
3640

A decisive break in the first set settled it as Juan Carlos Prado Angelo got past Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 6-3 7-6 in the Umag qualifying final.

Key context

  • Set 2, game 10: A 23-point game with nine deuces went Juan Carlos Prado Angelo's way.
  • Set 2, game 10: Juan Carlos Prado Angelo saved five break points to hold serve.
  • Pressure points: Juan Carlos Prado Angelo converted 3 of 9 break points; Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo converted 2 of 8 break points.

Pressure & serve by court

Prado Angelo J.
Sanchez Izquierdo N.
Break points won
3/9
2/8
Break points saved
6/8
6/9

Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Prado Angelo J.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Sanchez Izquierdo N.

Sanchez Izquierdo N.serving68% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Prado Angelo J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
54%
Service points won·Even
58%
62%
Return points won·Even
41%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
51%
Aces / match·Even
2.2
1.8
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
46
19
Break points saved·Clear edge
40
27
Break points won·Even
30
29
Deciding sets·Clear edge
91
69
Tiebreaks·Dominant
70
2

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:21 UTC
Prado Angelo J.55%
Sanchez Izquierdo N.45%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.3+21 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Clay Elo 1532
5.2Overall Elo 1576
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1563
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
4.95 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.06 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
71
53

Prado Angelo J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 59 games (7d) · Sanchez Izquierdo N.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 119 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 63%