Noemi Basiletti vs Anastasia AbbagnatoRome Qualifying Final

Rome · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
#313WTA
1356ELO
1327Clay ELO
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 12 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTRE COURT · 2nd on
#498WTA
1339ELO
1334Clay ELO
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLLWWL
Basiletti N.
6-4 6-1
Abbagnato A.
Basiletti N.
662
Abbagnato A.
410

Noemi Basiletti won nine games in a row to see off Anastasia Abbagnato 6-4 6-1 in the Rome qualifying final.

Key context

  • Set 2, game 1: Noemi Basiletti broke serve.
  • Pressure points: Noemi Basiletti converted 6 of 10 break points; Anastasia Abbagnato converted 2 of 3 break points.

Pressure & serve by court

Basiletti N.
Abbagnato A.
Break points won
6/10
2/3
Break points saved
1/3
4/10

Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Basiletti N.serving46% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Abbagnato A.

Abbagnato A.serving34% hold

wins 44% of points on serve vs Basiletti N.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
72%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
55%
57%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
42%
Service points won·Even
53%
52%
Return points won·Slight edge
49%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
49%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.3
2.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.7
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:20 UTC
Basiletti N.51%
Abbagnato A.49%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9Clay Elo 1327
Surface ELO
5.1+8 Clay Elo edge
5.8Overall Elo 1356
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1339
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.83 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.16 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
89
89

Basiletti N.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Abbagnato A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
34°CClear
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 33%