Jeline Vandromme vs Aurora ZantedeschiContrexeville Semi-final

Contrexeville · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#161WTA
1646ELO
1491Clay ELO
18 yrs
Last 10
WWWLWWLWWL
Sets
Saturday, 11 July 2026 ·
clay
#364WTA
1302ELO
1301Clay ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLWWWWWW
Vandromme J.
vs
Zantedeschi A.

Jeline Vandromme faces Aurora Zantedeschi in the Contrexeville semi-final on clay. Jeline Vandromme holds the paper edge — ranked #161, a roughly 190-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:22 UTC
Vandromme J.74%
Zantedeschi A.26%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Vandromme J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.4+190 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.6Clay Elo 1301
7.4Overall Elo 1646
ELO gap
2.6Overall Elo 1302
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.56 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
8.99 of last 10 on clay
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

33 vs 24 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
50%
Service points won·Even
58%
57%
Return points won·Even
48%
50%
Break points saved·Even
57%
54%
Aces / match·Even
1.5
1.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.0
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Vandromme J.serving39% hold

wins 46% of points on serve vs Zantedeschi A.

Zantedeschi A.serving41% hold

wins 46% of points on serve vs Vandromme J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
84
82

Vandromme J.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 31 games (7d) · Zantedeschi A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather forecast
25°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 48%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.