Marko Topo vs Pol Martin Tiffon — Umag Qualifying Semi-final

Umag · ATP · Qualifying Semi-final
GER
Marko Topo
#338ATP
1463ELO
1399Clay ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLLW
1 — 0
Sets
Retired
Saturday, 11 July 2026 ·
clay
Court 4 · 1st on
ESP8
Pol Martin Tiffon
#209ATP
1561ELO
1506Clay ELO
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWWL
Topo M.
6-4 0-0
Tiffon P.
Topo M.
601
Tiffon P.
400

Marko Topo advanced to the Umag semifinals after Pol Martin Tiffon retired during their match. At the time of retirement, Topo led 6-4. Topo converted 67% of his break points and won 78% of his first-serve points.

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-11UmagQ16clayMarko Topo6-4

Statistics

This season
Topo M.Tiffon P.
1st serve in·Even
58%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
43%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
55%
64%
Return points won·Even
36%
40%
Break points saved·Clear edge
49%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.2
3.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.2
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 40). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Topo M.Tiffon P.
Clutch Rating·Even
28
26
Break points saved·Dominant
87
59
Break points won·Slight edge
4
11
Deciding sets·Dominant
12
60
Tiebreaks·Dominant
84
22

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Topo M.32%
Tiffon P.68%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Tiffon P. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Topo M.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Tiffon P.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
3.7Clay Elo 1399
Surface ELO
6.3+107 Clay Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1463
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1561
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.94 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.96 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Surface transition
3.0Grass → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Topo M.Tiffon P.
Freshness·
98
—

Topo M.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
30°CPartly cloudy
Wind 26 km/hHumidity 67%

Draw