Zsombor Piros vs Jerome KymIasi Semi-final

Iasi · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#169ATP
1661ELO
1621Clay ELO
$145kYTD
$975kCAREER
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWWWWWLW
Sets
Saturday, 11 July 2026 ·
clay
#196ATP
1599ELO
1529Clay ELO
$89kYTD
$731kCAREER
23 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLWWLWLL
Piros Z.
vs
Kym J.

Zsombor Piros faces Jerome Kym in the Iasi semi-final on clay. Zsombor Piros holds the paper edge — ranked #169, a roughly 90-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:20 UTC
Piros Z.61%
Kym J.39%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Piros Z. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.1+92 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Clay Elo 1529
5.8Overall Elo 1661
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1598
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.78 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.75 of last 10 on clay
10.08-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Piros Z.Stable
Kym J.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

29 vs 13 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
68%
Return points won·Even
40%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
69%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.8
8.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 13). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Piros Z.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Kym J.

Kym J.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Piros Z.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
54
35
Break points saved·Slight edge
84
91
Break points won·Slight edge
32
21
Deciding sets·Dominant
85
13
Tiebreaks·Dominant
32
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
55
77

Piros Z.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 108 games (7d) · Kym J.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather forecast
20°CPartly cloudy
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 64%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.