Mayar Sherif vs Leolia Jeanjean — Contrexeville Semi-final
Sherif M.
Mayar Sherif faces Leolia Jeanjean in the Contrexeville semi-final on clay. Mayar Sherif holds the paper edge — ranked #109, a roughly 40-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 21:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Sherif M. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Mayar Sherif 39 games in 14 days, Leolia Jeanjean 100.
- Last match: Leolia Jeanjean dropped the opening set before beating Alice Tubello 3–6 6–3 6–4.
- Last match: Mayar Sherif dropped just 5 games past Alicia Herrero Linana.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadSherif M.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d) · Jeanjean L.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 48 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.