Thiago Monteiro vs Pierre Hugues HerbertGstaad Qualifying Semi-final

Gstaad · ATP · Qualifying Semi-final
#292ATP
1568ELO
1554Clay ELO
32 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Saturday, 11 July 2026 ·
clay
Court 1 · 2nd on
#251ATP
1607ELO
1530Clay ELO
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWLLL
Monteiro T.
7-6 6-7 7-6
Herbert P.
Monteiro T.
79647102
Herbert P.
6777681

Thiago Monteiro survived one match point to beat Pierre Hugues Herbert in the Gstaad qualifying semi-final.

Key context

  • Set 3 tiebreak: Thiago Monteiro took the deciding set 7-6.
  • Pressure points: Thiago Monteiro converted 0 of 0 break points; Pierre Hugues Herbert converted 0 of 4 break points.

Pressure & serve by court

Monteiro T.
Herbert P.
Break points won
0/4
Break points saved
4/4

Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2017-05-15Rome MastersQ1clayThiago Monteiro6-2 7-6(0)

Serve vs return

This season
Monteiro T.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Herbert P.

Herbert P.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Monteiro T.

Serve advantage — Monteiro T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
48%
Service points won·Even
63%
64%
Return points won·Even
39%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
67%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.1
6.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.8
4.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
56
55
Break points saved·Even
95
96
Break points won·Even
16
18
Deciding sets·Clear edge
66
83
Tiebreaks·Dominant
89
43

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:20 UTC
Monteiro T.54%
Herbert P.46%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
5.3+23 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Clay Elo 1530
4.5Overall Elo 1568
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1607
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
6.26 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.24 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
3.0Grass → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R32 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Herbert P.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 43%