Luca Nardi vs Andrea Guerrieri — Umag Qualifying Semi-final
ITA1
Nardi L.A decisive break in the second set settled it as Andrea Guerrieri got past Luca Nardi 6-3 7-6 in the Umag qualifying semi-final.
Key context
- Set 1, game 3: Luca Nardi saved three break points to hold serve.
- Pressure points: Luca Nardi converted 2 of 7 break points; Andrea Guerrieri converted 4 of 10 break points.
Pressure & serve by court
Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 14:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Nardi L. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadNardi L.: 17 days rest · Guerrieri A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 35 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About