Norbert Gombos vs Nikolas Sanchez IzquierdoUmag Qualifying Semi-final

Umag · ATP · Qualifying Semi-final
#364ATP
1472ELO
1455Clay ELO
35 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 11 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 3 · 2nd on
#214ATP
1563ELO
1532Clay ELO
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLW
Gombos N.
6-7 2-6
Sanchez Izquierdo N.
Gombos N.
6420
Sanchez Izquierdo N.
7762

A decisive break in the second set settled it as Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo got past Norbert Gombos 7-6 6-2 in the Umag qualifying semi-final.

Key context

  • Set 1, game 1: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo saved three break points to hold serve.
  • Pressure points: Norbert Gombos converted 1 of 5 break points; Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo converted 3 of 7 break points.

Pressure & serve by court

Gombos N.
Sanchez Izquierdo N.
Break points won
1/5
3/7
Break points saved
4/7
4/5

Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Gombos N.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Sanchez Izquierdo N.

Sanchez Izquierdo N.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Gombos N.

Serve advantage — Sanchez Izquierdo N.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
54%
Service points won·Even
61%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
51%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.3
1.8
Double faults / match·Even
2.6
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
41
19
Break points saved·Dominant
83
27
Break points won·Clear edge
8
29
Deciding sets·Even
70
69
Tiebreaks·Dominant
39
2

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:21 UTC
Gombos N.28%
Sanchez Izquierdo N.72%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Sanchez Izquierdo N. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.0Clay Elo 1455
Surface ELO
6.0+77 Clay Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1472
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1563
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.96 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.66 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
76
60

Gombos N.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 55 games (7d) · Sanchez Izquierdo N.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 76 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
28°COvercast
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 60%