Lorenzo Giustino vs Miguel Damas — Liege Semi-final
Giustino L.
Lorenzo Giustino faces Miguel Damas in the Liege semi-final on clay. Lorenzo Giustino holds the paper edge — ranked #226.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 17:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Lorenzo Giustino comes in with 2 days of rest and 142 games in 14d, vs Miguel Damas's 2 and 63.
- Last match: Lorenzo Giustino edged Jack Loge in two tight sets (7–5 6–4).
- Surface form: Lorenzo Giustino 6 of 9, Miguel Damas 4 of 9 on clay recently — Lorenzo Giustino the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadGiustino L.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 95 games (7d) · Damas M.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.