Federico Cina vs Patrick Zahraj

Gstaad · ATP · Qualifying Semi-final

ITA3

Federico Cina

#174ATP

1630ELO

1590Clay ELO

$293kYTD

$533kCAREER

19 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LLLWLWWWLW

2 — 0

Sets

Saturday, 11 July 2026 · 14:45

clay

COURT 1 · 3rd on

GER

Patrick Zahraj

#401ATP

1331ELO

1259Clay ELO

26 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LLLLLLWLWL

Cina F.

7-5 6-3

Zahraj P.

Cina F.

762

Zahraj P.

530

Federico Cina broke serve in the second set to take control and defeat Patrick Zahraj 7-5 6-3 in the Gstaad qualifying semi-final.

Key context

Set 1, game 10: A 13-point game with four deuces went Patrick Zahraj's way.
Pressure points: Federico Cina converted 2 of 7 break points; Patrick Zahraj converted 0 of 1 break points.

Pressure & serve by court

Cina F.

Zahraj P.

Break points won

2/7

0/1

Break points saved

1/1

5/7

Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season

Cina F.serving70% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Zahraj P.

Zahraj P.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Cina F.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season

Cina F.Zahraj P.

1st serve in·Slight edge

63%

56%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

70%

65%

2nd serve points won·Even

48%

44%

Service points won·Slight edge

62%

56%

Return points won·Even

39%

40%

Break points saved·Slight edge

66%

61%

Aces / match·Even

3.3

3.4

Double faults / match·Dominant

2.3

6.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure

Cina F.Zahraj P.

Clutch Rating·Clear edge

Break points saved·Clear edge

Break points won·Clear edge

Deciding sets·Dominant

Tiebreaks·Dominant

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:21 UTC

Cina F.89%

Zahraj P.11%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Cina F. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Cina F.

7.3

Strong advantageUmpiry Score

Zahraj P.

3.6

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)

Form & Matchup

9.1+331 Clay Elo edge

Surface ELO

0.9Clay Elo 1259

8.7Overall Elo 1630

ELO gap

1.3Overall Elo 1331

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

5.06 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

2.43 of last 10 on clay

0.0Lost last 3

Win streak

0.0Lost last 5

Fatigue & Travel

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3-set count

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

Surface transition

3.0Grass → Clay

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

6.0Reached qualifying here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.