Henry Bernet vs Hugo DellienTrieste Semi-final

Trieste · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#458ATP
1372ELO
1353Clay ELO
19 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWWLLLLL
Sets
Saturday, 11 July 2026 ·
clay
#162ATP
1637ELO
1624Clay ELO
$217kYTD
$3.1MCAREER
33 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLLLLLWW
Bernet H.
vs
Dellien H.

Henry Bernet faces Hugo Dellien in the Trieste semi-final on clay. Hugo Dellien holds the paper edge — ranked #162, a roughly 270-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:20 UTC
Bernet H.13%
Dellien H.87%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Dellien H. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
1.6Clay Elo 1353
Surface ELO
8.4+271 Clay Elo edge
1.7Overall Elo 1372
ELO gap
8.3Overall Elo 1637
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.35 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.26 of last 10 on clay
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Bernet H.Surging
Dellien H.Sliding

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

11 vs 38 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
59%
72%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
40%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
54%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
42%
Break points saved·Clear edge
46%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.0
2.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.7
1.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Bernet H.serving50% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Dellien H.

Dellien H.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Bernet H.

Serve advantage — Dellien H.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
55
78

Bernet H.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 95 games (7d) · Dellien H.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 36 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather forecast
30°CPartly cloudy
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 42%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.