Kaitlin Quevedo vs Simona Waltert — Bastad Semi-final
Quevedo K.
Kaitlin Quevedo faces Simona Waltert in the Bastad semi-final on clay. Simona Waltert is the paper favourite — ranked #90 — but Kaitlin Quevedo arrives in form, winning 6 of their last 8 on clay to Simona Waltert's 5.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Quevedo K. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Last match: Kaitlin Quevedo dropped the opening set before beating Irene Burillo Escorihuela 4–6 6–4 6–4.
- Last match: Simona Waltert dropped just 3 games past Leyre Romero Gormaz.
- Fatigue load: Kaitlin Quevedo carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadQuevedo K.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 48 games (7d) · Waltert S.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 31 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.