Laslo Djere vs Daniel Rincon — Braunschweig Quarter-final

Braunschweig · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final

SRB

Laslo Djere

#234ATP

1704ELO

1715Clay ELO

31 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WWLWLWWWLL

—

Sets

Friday, 10 July 2026 · 10:00

clay

ESP

Daniel Rincon

#261ATP

1522ELO

1469Clay ELO

23 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed

Last 10

WWLWWWLWWW

Djere L.

Rincon D.

Laslo Djere faces Daniel Rincon in the Braunschweig quarter-final on clay. Laslo Djere is the paper favourite — ranked #234, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 250-point clay Elo advantage — but Daniel Rincon arrives in form, winning 6 of their last 8 on clay to Laslo Djere's 5.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC

Djere L.82%

Rincon D.18%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Djere L. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Freshness: Laslo Djere comes in with 1 days of rest and 36 games in 14d, vs Daniel Rincon's 1 and 116.
Form trend: Form trajectories diverge: Daniel Rincon rising, Laslo Djere cooling.
Last match: Daniel Rincon dropped the opening set before beating Sebastian Ofner 3–6 7–5 6–3.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Djere L.

7.6

Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score

Rincon D.

5.9

Even matchUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

8.1+245 Clay Elo edge

Surface ELO

1.9Clay Elo 1469

7.3Overall Elo 1704

ELO gap

2.7Overall Elo 1522

7.8Leads 2–0 on clay

H2H

2.2Trails 0–2 on clay

6.56 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

7.98 of last 10 on clay

Fatigue & Travel

3-set count

0.03 three-setters in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Djere L.Sliding

Rincon D.Rising

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

18 vs 15 matches

Statistics

This season

Djere L.Rincon D.

1st serve in·Even

61%

59%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

69%

64%

2nd serve points won·Slight edge

52%

46%

Service points won·Slight edge

63%

56%

Return points won·Even

40%

41%

Break points saved·Slight edge

59%

53%

Aces / match·Even

3.1

2.8

Double faults / match·Clear edge

2.7

1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Djere L.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Rincon D.

Rincon D.serving58% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Djere L.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure

Djere L.Rincon D.

Clutch Rating·Clear edge

Break points saved·Dominant

Break points won·Clear edge

Deciding sets·Clear edge

Tiebreaks·Clear edge

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load

Djere L.Rincon D.

Freshness·Dominant

Djere L.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d) · Rincon D.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 107 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed

Medium-slowfavours grinders

SlowFast

Weather forecast

17°CPartly cloudy

Wind 5 km/hHumidity 67%

Head to head

1–0

Date	Tournament	Round	Surface	Winner	Score
2025-04-14	Barcelona	Q2	clay	Laslo Djere	6-3 7-5